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Can Celebrity Endorsements Win Elections?
Hurricane Milton đŞď¸ | Rachel Reeves' Borrowing Plans đˇ | UK Population Growth đ
Welcome to todayâs issue of The Debate Daily!
In todayâs email: To win democratic elections, the need to appeal to peopleâs general needs and wants is crucial. Yet the traditional way of getting more votes is shifting from tactics by politicians to tactics by new actors such as celebrities. With social media and popular culture influencing the minds of the general public further, democratic politics is also experiencing how endorsements from celebrities can be a powerful force in winning elections. In the debate today, we explore to what extent celebrities have the necessary endorsement power to win elections.
By Isaac Crawford
The Headlines
Hurricane Milton: US officials are warning of severe, life-threatening impacts as Hurricane Milton, a Category 4 storm, heads towards Florida. This is one of the strongest hurricanes to hit the North Atlantic in recent years.
Rachel Reeves' Borrowing Plans: The UK Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is considering changing borrowing rules to free up funds for large-scale projects. She is aiming to maintain a self-imposed rule to reduce national debt relative to the economy over the next five years.
UK Population Growth: The UK is experiencing its fastest population growth in 50 years, driven by a net migration increase of 677,300. This rise occurred despite more deaths than births, marking the first time in half a century this has happened (excluding pandemic effects).
Debate #024
Can Celebrity Endorsements Win Elections?
Some argue celebrities can be seen as influencers who bolster engagement in elections amongst key and new generations of voters, whose endorsements could increasingly make the difference in winning them.
Getting the turnout up: Celebrities can increase voter turnout in otherwise low voter participation in Western democracies. The USAâs voter turnout still ranks 31st out of 50 developed nations. In other words Republicans and Democrats alike have a massive number of disinterested Americans to persuade. The study at Harvard University suggested that recent celebrity endorsement from the likes of Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande bolstered engagement and turnout in elections, giving especially the Democrats a boost in that all important turnout result.
Gen Z, the voting majority by 2028, are increasingly influenced by celebrities
The future of winning: Gen Z voters, who are predicted to become the voting majority by 2028, increasingly pay attention to celebrity endorsement. Taylor Swiftâs recent Instagram âyesâ to a Kamala Presidency saw 400,000 people click the link to register to vote, suggesting that such online celeb campaigns could be the future way of targeting the Gen Z demographic
More than just the vote: The âSwifties for Kamalaâ have reportedly raised $213,000 since July of this year, showing that celebrity endorsement involves more than just getting people to register. Swiftâs quoting of J.D Vanceâs remark about her as a âchildless cat ladyâ in her endorsement post shows a more substantial engagement with prominent election figures that would pull those inspired voters to the Democrat cause.
HoweverâŚ
Celebrities do not necessarily address other important issues to voters beyond voting for the sake of voting, and endorsing Presidents does not necessarily indicate electoral success.
Below the threshold: A massive proportion of celebrity audiences are still under the voting age of 18, limiting the extent to which any endorsement could translate to present election wins. The appearances of Megan Thee Stallion and Bon Iver in Kamalaâs rallies do seem to influence Gen Z to vote for the Democrats. Yet they are primarily entertainers, not politicians with influence to impact the election outcome.
Celebrities are primarily entertainers, not politicians with political and financial influence
Lacking Persuasion: The Democrat use of celebrities mirrors Republican collaborations with Amber Rose in their rallies and even influencers Logan Paul and Bryce Hall on YouTube. With all these celebrities (often the same ones in previous elections) competing for attention among young voters, especially young men, the younger generation of voters can feel unsurprised and overwhelmed by all these celebrity influences. Taylor Swift has endorsed the Democratic party previously and her endorsement is unlikely to garner millions of undecided voters.
No real backing: The consequences of Swiftâs endorsements, alike other celebrities, only push people to register to vote. Both she and Kylie Jenner, in 2018 and 2020, respectively, called for their followers to register, which, in Swiftâs case, still did not change the vote in the Democrats' favour. The substance of celebrity political commentary is perhaps a more âbusiness safeâ call to turn to the ballot box than a convincing way to shift the vote in either direction.
Summary
Celebrity endorsements can bolster political participation in the key field of election turnout and boost engagement with competing politicians. At the same time, celebrities lack real substance in their endorsements of parties, which generally inform already-convinced voters and only push people to register. One thing is for sure: celebrity endorsement will not play a major factor in this US election, but in the upcoming years the increasing influence of social culture in politics can make it more powerful.
What do you think?
Do celebrities influence my voting decisions, or do policies matter more?
Does celebrity-driven voter turnout actually change election outcomes?
Is celebrity influence a sign of changing political engagement, especially for Gen Z
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Whatâs on earth is going on?
Hurricane Milton Fabricated? Disinformation Gets Everywhere
The unexpected giant Hurricane Milton heading across Floridaâs Tampa Bay has been speculated online as a human-generated storm.
On the one hand, Hurricane Milton's exceptional and surprising nature could have influenced people ignorant of hurricanes to believe in this conspiracy.
On the other, the origin of the conspiracy theory is likely due to a distrust of scientific explanations and a way to politicise the phenomenon in the upcoming US elections.
What does this mean:
With other previous disinformation tactics, such as in the UK with the Southport riots, social media platforms increasingly allow lies to challenge objective truths. Now that weather events can also be subject to disinformation, the future of online news consumption could be losing how it can effectively communicate facts.
This newsletter was brought to you by writers: Isaac Crawford and Ozan Selcuk
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