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Will Building 1.5 Million Houses Solve Britain's Housing Crisis?

Rachel Reeves' Optimism 🎙️🌅 | U.S. to Ban Chinese and Russian Car Tech 🚗🔒 | Israeli Airstrikes 🇮🇱💥

Welcome to today’s issue of The Debate Daily!

In today’s email: With house prices getting more and more unaffordable, home ownership is becoming out of reach for many people in Britain, particularly young people. Labour has pledged to tackle the issue by building 1.5 million houses which they say will make it easier to get on the property ladder. But will it work?

By Tasha Vagadia and Kit Swift

The Headlines

Kirsty O'Connor / Treasury

  • Rachel Reeves' Optimism: Labour’s Shadow Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, assured the nation that Britain’s "best days lie ahead" in her first party conference speech. Previously accused of talking the economy down by warning of “tough choices”, Reeves emphasised a brighter future despite the difficult legacy left by the Conservatives.

  • U.S. to Ban Chinese and Russian Car Tech: The U.S. is set to ban certain Chinese and Russian-made technologies from vehicles due to security concerns. Officials fear the technology in question, used in autonomous driving and vehicle connectivity, could allow remote manipulation of cars on American roads by foreign adversaries.

  • Israeli airstrikes: Lebanon’s health ministry has announced 492 people have been killed and 1645 injured in yesterday's wave of Israeli airstrikes against Hezbollah. This further raises fears that the renewed conflict will escalate into all-out war.

Debate #014

Will Building 1.5 Million Houses Solve Britain’s Housing Crisis?

Labour’s housing plan may partially alleviate the Britain’s housing crisis. However, it will not solve it completely as supply is only a small part of the complex issues within the property market.

Affordability - The UK is facing an affordable housing crisis, characterised by soaring costs. Theoretically, increasing the supply of housing will lower prices but countless landlords and developers are reluctant to do so. Consequently, last year, the number of empty homes in London peaked since the financial crisis, despite the high demand, showing that simply increasing supply is not the right solution.

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Last year, empty homes in London peaked, despite the high demand, showing that increasing supply is not the right solution

Speculative Buyers - Speculative buying and the buy-to-let market exacerbate the housing crisis. If 1.5 million houses are built, what stops investors from buying them as assets rather than places to live? Unfortunately, simply building homes is no longer enough as there is no guarantee that these will reach first-time buyers and low-income families.

Regional Disparities - High-demand areas like London lack space and face high costs, limiting housing affordability. However, rural areas with an abundance of space lack the social and economic infrastructure to make living there attractive. Despite recent shifts towards commuting and remote working, building 1.5 million houses alone cannot fully address the complex regional disparities contributing to Britain’s housing crisis.

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However…

There are a number of problems with the idea of simply building more homes in order to ease Britain’s housing crisis. However, if managed correctly, building a large number of homes can at the very least go a long way to solving the crisis.

Landlords - It is often argued that building homes will fail to lower prices because landlords and developers will simply keep charging high rents or prices. However, it is immoral to price people out of a place to live and this is exactly what many landlords do in the pursuit of profit. Therefore, if a plan to build houses could be combined with regulating or even abolishing them, we could go a long way to solving Britain’s housing crisis.

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If a plan to build houses could be combined with regulating landlords, we could go a long way to solving Britain’s housing crisis

Planning Laws - Housing developers in the UK currently face very stringent planning restrictions that slow down the building process. This favours the larger developers because they can buy up large amounts of land, knowing that the majority will be granted planning permission. Easing planning restrictions as part of the plan would bring smaller developers into the market, making it more competitive and thus bringing prices down. It may also allow developers to build on previously unexploited land such as “wasteland or low-value warehousing.”

Addressing Regional Disparities - Currently, many areas of the UK have plenty of space for development but lack the demand whereas others have excess demand but too little space. Building houses in areas where there is more space while supporting job creation there can address population and therefore housing demand imbalances between regions. This would make house building in regions with more space much more effective.

Summary

Building houses is not a quick fix to Britain’s housing crisis but different perceptions of the challenges involved will lead to different views on its long-term effectiveness. On the face of it, the power that landlords and investors have to set prices as well as the unattractiveness of living rurally make the plan seem set to fail. However, solutions have been proposed such as regulating landlords and shifting new industries to previously unattractive areas. Are these solutions enough to make the plan worthwhile?

What do you think?

  1. If there’s a case for regulating landlords, is there a case for abolishing them entirely?

  2. What is the best way to balance building houses and protecting the environment?

  3. What is the best way to minimise the number of empty houses in Britain?

This newsletter was brought to you by writers: Tasha Vagadia and Kit Swift

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